Lecce vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
14%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
25.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
VAR
2 - 1
LEC
51%
30%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
LEC
1 - 3
BAR
59%
26%
15%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
SPA
1 - 1
LEC
64%
23%
14%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
LEC
1 - 0
PAL
45%
29%
26%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
TAR
0 - 0
LEC
50%
30%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
CES
1 - 1
PIS
67%
22%
11%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
SAM
0 - 0
CES
54%
27%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
CES
2 - 0
PES
62%
24%
14%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
ATL
0 - 0
CES
45%
30%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
CES
2 - 1
USF
63%
23%
14%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |