Lecce vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
29%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
22.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
BRE
2 - 0
LEC
64%
23%
13%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
LEC
0 - 0
BAR
57%
27%
16%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
ASS
0 - 0
LEC
61%
25%
14%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1980 |
LEC
1 - 0
TAR
61%
25%
14%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
PAR
1 - 2
LEC
50%
29%
20%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
CES
2 - 1
SSS
55%
28%
17%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
PAL
1 - 1
CES
50%
29%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
CES
0 - 0
BRE
52%
28%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1980 |
TER
0 - 0
CES
47%
29%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
CES
2 - 1
ATL
48%
31%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |