Lecce U18 vs Genoa U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
55.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
10º
17º
14º
32
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
43 | 73 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
1º
|
46 | 70 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 68 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 66 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 59 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 49 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 47 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 47 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 47 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 44 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 41 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 39 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 31 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 30 |
16º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 27 |
17º
|
30% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 24 |
18º
|
55% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
HEL
0 - 2
LEC
28%
21%
51%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LEC
1 - 2
BOL
28%
21%
51%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SAS
1 - 0
LEC
33%
23%
45%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
LEC
5 - 3
LAZ
26%
22%
52%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 1
LEC
64%
18%
18%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
GEN
4 - 0
BOL
44%
21%
35%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
CAG
3 - 3
GEN
39%
21%
40%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
MIL
0 - 4
GEN
28%
24%
49%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 1
LEC
64%
18%
18%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
HEL
3 - 3
GEN
16%
18%
67%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |