Lecce U18 vs Genoa U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
54%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
14º
14º
53
3º
15º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
53 | 54 |
5º
|
93.5% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 52 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 49 |
10º
|
85.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 9 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
TOR
3 - 2
LEC
47%
21%
32%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2024 |
LEC
1 - 0
PAR
42%
23%
35%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
ASR
4 - 1
LEC
70%
16%
14%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 2
ATA
33%
22%
45%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
BOL
1 - 1
LEC
64%
18%
18%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 1
HEL
71%
16%
13%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
FRO
2 - 3
GEN
9%
14%
77%
|
31 | 6 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
GEN
3 - 1
CAG
66%
18%
17%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
FIO
2 - 0
GEN
36%
23%
41%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
GEN
1 - 1
SAM
74%
15%
11%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |