Lecce U18 vs Cesena U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
27.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
7º
8º
38
4º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 45 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 1
LEC
26%
21%
54%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
LEC
0 - 1
ASR
36%
23%
42%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
EMP
0 - 0
LEC
30%
22%
49%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
LEC
3 - 1
NAP
67%
18%
15%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
BOL
0 - 2
LEC
51%
21%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
CES
3 - 3
NAP
57%
20%
23%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
BOL
5 - 1
CES
52%
21%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CES
3 - 1
SAS
52%
21%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
LAZ
2 - 4
CES
49%
21%
29%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
CES
1 - 2
GEN
41%
22%
37%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |