UEFA Youth League 1/64
Global 2-6
Lecce U19 vs Olympiacos U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
60.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LEC
2 - 2
FRO
60%
22%
19%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
TOR
6 - 1
LEC
48%
23%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
OLY
3 - 1
LEC
62%
21%
16%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 1
ASS
35%
23%
42%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 2
LEC
48%
23%
30%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Olympiacos U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 0
PAN
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
OLY
3 - 1
ARI
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
OLY
3 - 1
LEC
62%
21%
16%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
PAS
1 - 2
OLY
28%
26%
46%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
OLY
4 - 2
KIF
86%
10%
4%
|
42 | 10 | 32 | 0 |