Lecce U19 vs Bologna U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
11º
1º
46
2º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
46 | 49 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
44 | 44 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
42 | 42 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 19 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 11 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
LEC
3 - 0
CRO
60%
22%
18%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
EMP
1 - 1
LEC
50%
23%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LEC
0 - 1
CAG
47%
24%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
UDI
0 - 2
LEC
53%
23%
24%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LEC
2 - 0
INT
32%
25%
44%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Bologna U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
BOL
4 - 1
PES
52%
24%
24%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BOL
4 - 2
JUV
16%
20%
64%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +3 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
NAP
3 - 0
BOL
25%
23%
52%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BOL
0 - 3
MIL
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
FRO
3 - 0
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |