Leça FC vs Valadares Gaia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-64%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
9º
8º
39
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leça FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 0
LEC
17%
24%
60%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LEC
4 - 0
MAC
87%
10%
3%
|
46 | 14 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RES
0 - 1
LEC
9%
18%
73%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LEC
1 - 2
RES
78%
15%
7%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SAL
0 - 0
LEC
41%
26%
32%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Valadares Gaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
3 - 2
CHA
8%
17%
75%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 0
CAS
58%
24%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 0
OLM
13%
17%
70%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BMA
1 - 1
VAL
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 1
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |