Leça FC vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
25.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leça FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
UNM
0 - 0
LEC
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
FCM
2 - 0
LEC
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
LEC
1 - 0
RIO
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
OVA
0 - 1
LEC
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
LEC
1 - 3
SPC
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
PEN
2 - 1
FCM
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
RIO
1 - 0
PEN
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
PEN
2 - 1
OVA
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
SPC
0 - 0
PEN
43%
28%
30%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
PEN
0 - 1
AVE
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |