Leça FC vs Machico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.7%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
3.4%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
9º
8º
25
8º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 67% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 33% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leça FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RES
0 - 1
LEC
9%
18%
73%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LEC
1 - 2
RES
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SAL
0 - 0
LEC
41%
26%
32%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
LEC
0 - 2
VIL
61%
23%
17%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
LEC
1 - 1
SMA
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MAC
2 - 2
CAS
8%
16%
76%
|
13 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
MAC
0 - 5
SMA
14%
18%
68%
|
14 | 39 | 25 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SMA
6 - 1
MAC
81%
13%
7%
|
14 | 43 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
FEL
4 - 0
MAC
79%
14%
8%
|
15 | 43 | 28 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 2
MAC
75%
15%
10%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +1 |