Leça FC vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
37.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leça FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 2
LEC
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
LEC
2 - 2
GON
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
LEC
46%
26%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 0
LEC
40%
27%
33%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
GON
0 - 1
LEC
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
ANG
1 - 2
LUS
29%
26%
45%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
LUS
37%
28%
35%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
LUS
2 - 1
MON
51%
25%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
VSC
2 - 0
LUS
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
LUS
1 - 1
VAL
59%
20%
21%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |