Leça FC vs Coimbrões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
7.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
5º
1º
18
9º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
37 | 54 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 50 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 47 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 45 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 42 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 38 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 35 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 35 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 33 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 32 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 29 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 26 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 20 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 13 |
14º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
89% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
11% | 7% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 93% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leça FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
LEC
4 - 1
CAM
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
REG
1 - 2
LEC
16%
19%
65%
|
47 | 19 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ALP
1 - 1
LEC
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
LEC
3 - 0
BMA
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
LEC
1 - 2
MAC
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Coimbrões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
MAC
2 - 0
COI
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
COI
0 - 2
GFC
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SAL
1 - 0
COI
72%
18%
10%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
COI
1 - 0
UNI
38%
23%
39%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
COI
0 - 0
GON
35%
25%
39%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |