Leça FC vs Beira Mar SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
9º
8º
47
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leça FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 0
LEC
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
LEC
2 - 0
GUA
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
LUS
1 - 0
LEC
33%
26%
42%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LEC
0 - 2
GON
53%
26%
21%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SAL
2 - 1
LEC
41%
27%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
BMA
1 - 0
CAS
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
BMA
0 - 0
RES
84%
11%
5%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
BMA
35%
26%
40%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
BMA
3 - 1
GUA
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
LUS
2 - 2
BMA
33%
26%
42%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |