Leça FC vs Camacha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
5º
1º
21
6º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
37 | 54 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 50 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 47 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 45 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 42 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 38 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
21 | 35 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 35 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 33 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 32 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 29 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 26 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 20 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 13 |
14º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
89% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
11% | 74.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 25.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leça FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
REG
1 - 2
LEC
16%
19%
65%
|
46 | 18 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ALP
1 - 1
LEC
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
LEC
3 - 0
BMA
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
LEC
1 - 2
MAC
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
GFC
0 - 0
LEC
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Camacha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CAM
2 - 2
BMA
35%
27%
38%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MAC
1 - 1
CAM
37%
23%
40%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CAM
1 - 1
GFC
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
CAM
1 - 1
SAL
27%
26%
47%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 0
CAM
32%
23%
45%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -2 |