Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 4-11
Leça FC vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
33.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leça FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1941 |
ACA
2 - 2
LEC
78%
12%
10%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1941 |
ACA
2 - 2
LEC
78%
12%
10%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
SLB
3 - 0
ACA
83%
10%
7%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1941 |
ACA
4 - 2
FCB
72%
15%
13%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
BEL
2 - 0
ACA
78%
12%
10%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
ACA
6 - 0
BOA
72%
15%
13%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |