Lebring vs Frohnleiten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.4%
Win probability
3.57
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.2%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.8%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.1%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6.8%
2.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-65%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
13º
11º
1
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 62 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 56 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 54 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 53 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 51 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 51 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 49 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 46 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 44 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 43 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
|
11º
|
21 | 42 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 32 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 26 |
14º
|
57.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 20 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
1 | 9 |
16º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
TUS
0 - 2
LEB
22%
20%
58%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
LEB
1 - 4
HGK
47%
21%
33%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
UGA
2 - 1
LEB
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
LEB
2 - 3
FEH
43%
21%
37%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
KOF
2 - 0
LEB
59%
19%
22%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Frohnleiten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
FRO
2 - 3
TSH
13%
17%
70%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
LAF
2 - 0
FRO
87%
9%
4%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FRO
1 - 4
KIN
52%
21%
28%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
FCS
4 - 1
FRO
70%
16%
14%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
FRO
0 - 2
ALL
7%
13%
79%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | -1 |