Lebring vs Fehring analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
36.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
13º
11º
22
6º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 62 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 56 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 54 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 53 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 51 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 51 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 49 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 46 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 44 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 43 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
|
11º
|
21 | 42 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 32 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 26 |
14º
|
57.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 20 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 9 |
16º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
KOF
2 - 0
LEB
59%
19%
22%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
TSH
1 - 0
LEB
53%
20%
27%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
LEB
3 - 1
LAF
59%
19%
22%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
KIN
1 - 3
LEB
13%
16%
72%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
LEB
4 - 0
FCS
66%
17%
17%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Fehring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
FEH
0 - 0
TSH
44%
22%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LAF
2 - 2
FEH
36%
21%
44%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
FEH
3 - 2
KIN
81%
13%
7%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 4
FEH
25%
21%
55%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
FEH
2 - 1
ALL
35%
22%
44%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |