Leatherhead vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
46.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leatherhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
HOR
1 - 1
LEA
75%
16%
8%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
LEW
5 - 0
LEA
60%
21%
20%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
LEA
0 - 3
ENF
20%
22%
59%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
BOG
3 - 2
LEA
74%
16%
11%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
LEA
0 - 0
HAR
24%
24%
53%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
MER
4 - 0
BOW
28%
24%
48%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MER
5 - 0
HAR
22%
23%
56%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +5 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
MER
1 - 3
MAR
36%
24%
40%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
COR
0 - 3
MER
70%
18%
12%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MER
0 - 2
HER
27%
25%
48%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |