Leatherhead vs Lewes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
16.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leatherhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
LEA
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
LEA
1 - 2
ENF
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
FOL
1 - 1
LEA
64%
21%
16%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
LEA
2 - 3
HAR
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
HOR
1 - 1
LEA
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
LEW
0 - 2
HOR
22%
21%
57%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 0
LEW
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
LEW
0 - 2
BOW
26%
24%
50%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
WOR
3 - 1
LEW
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
LEW
1 - 1
ENF
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |