Leatherhead vs Lewes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leatherhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
LEA
0 - 1
HAR
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
LEW
0 - 1
LEA
28%
25%
48%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
LEA
1 - 0
MAR
32%
25%
43%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
VCD
2 - 0
LEA
23%
23%
54%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
LEA
1 - 0
LEI
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
LEW
0 - 0
BHA
10%
22%
69%
|
33 | 66 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
BUR
0 - 2
LEW
30%
25%
44%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
LEW
0 - 1
LEA
28%
25%
48%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MET
2 - 0
LEW
52%
24%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
BOG
1 - 2
LEW
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |