Leatherhead vs Horsham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leatherhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
LEA
5 - 0
STA
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 13 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
FAR
0 - 0
LEA
42%
23%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2020 |
LEA
0 - 2
DOR
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
LEA
3 - 0
EAS
36%
26%
39%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
BOW
3 - 0
LEA
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
DOR
1 - 0
HOR
64%
19%
17%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
HOR
1 - 3
DAR
18%
21%
60%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
HOR
3 - 2
HAR
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
HOR
0 - 2
BOG
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
HOR
2 - 0
POT
57%
21%
23%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |