FA Trophy 1/64
Global 4-6
Leatherhead vs Bath City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
42.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leatherhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
HYT
2 - 3
LEA
45%
24%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 1
LEA
22%
24%
55%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
LEA
3 - 2
TOW
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
WHI
0 - 1
LEA
33%
25%
43%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
CRA
0 - 3
LEA
53%
21%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Bath City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BAT
3 - 2
FAR
35%
24%
41%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
EAS
3 - 1
BAT
53%
23%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BAT
3 - 1
HOR
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
TON
3 - 4
BAT
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
BAT
2 - 3
HAY
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |