Leandro Nicéforo Alem vs Victoriano Arenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
41.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 1
ALE
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
ALE
0 - 0
VSC
47%
27%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -4 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
ALE
0 - 2
ITA
58%
24%
18%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CAÑ
2 - 2
ALE
33%
27%
41%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
ALE
1 - 0
MID
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Victoriano Arenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2018 |
VIC
2 - 3
ITA
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
VIC
24%
27%
49%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -4 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
VIC
3 - 1
MID
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
SMA
0 - 2
VIC
30%
27%
44%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
VIC
2 - 1
LAF
65%
21%
15%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |