Leandro Nicéforo Alem vs Victoriano Arenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
YUP
2 - 2
ALE
46%
27%
27%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2015 |
ALE
1 - 2
ITU
47%
26%
26%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2015 |
ALE
3 - 3
CLA
57%
24%
19%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2015 |
CBA
1 - 2
ALE
66%
21%
14%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2015 |
LIN
2 - 0
ALE
63%
22%
15%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Victoriano Arenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
VIC
0 - 0
LIN
26%
26%
48%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
YUP
2 - 1
VIC
51%
25%
24%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
VIC
0 - 0
POR
29%
27%
44%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2015 |
ITU
1 - 1
VIC
64%
22%
14%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 2
DPA
31%
27%
42%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |