Leandro Nicéforo Alem vs Victoriano Arenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
ALE
2 - 0
SBA
63%
22%
15%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
SMA
1 - 0
ALE
57%
24%
19%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
ALE
5 - 0
ARR
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MUÑ
2 - 1
ALE
38%
28%
34%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
ALE
0 - 1
POR
44%
28%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Victoriano Arenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
VIC
1 - 1
CAA
40%
26%
35%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
SBA
0 - 1
VIC
39%
27%
35%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
VIC
1 - 1
CAÑ
64%
22%
14%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2013 |
VIC
0 - 1
CLA
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -4 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ARR
1 - 2
VIC
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |