Leandro Nicéforo Alem vs Sportivo Italiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
ALE
2 - 0
CAA
53%
25%
21%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
CAA
0 - 3
ALE
48%
26%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Jun. 2017 |
ALE
2 - 0
JUU
61%
23%
16%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2017 |
ALE
1 - 0
CLA
68%
20%
12%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2017 |
PUE
0 - 3
ALE
27%
28%
45%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sportivo Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
ITA
2 - 1
SBA
29%
26%
45%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
ARM
3 - 0
ITA
47%
26%
27%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 1
ARM
65%
21%
14%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
MID
1 - 1
ITA
40%
27%
33%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 2
CAÑ
43%
26%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |