Leandro Nicéforo Alem vs El Porvenir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SMA
0 - 0
ALE
43%
26%
31%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
ALE
1 - 0
RPI
31%
28%
41%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
LAM
0 - 1
ALE
43%
28%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ALE
0 - 1
BER
24%
24%
52%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ARM
0 - 1
ALE
69%
19%
12%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
SMA
23%
27%
50%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
RPI
3 - 0
POR
78%
16%
7%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
POR
0 - 2
LAM
22%
25%
53%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
BER
1 - 0
POR
79%
15%
6%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
ARM
10%
17%
73%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |