Leandro Nicéforo Alem vs El Porvenir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
20.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2015 |
DPA
2 - 0
ALE
53%
25%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ALE
2 - 0
LUG
56%
25%
20%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
MUÑ
1 - 1
ALE
28%
29%
43%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
ALE
3 - 0
ARR
58%
24%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
CES
0 - 0
ALE
31%
29%
40%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
POR
0 - 2
YUP
68%
20%
12%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
ITU
1 - 0
POR
47%
27%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
POR
3 - 1
CLA
60%
22%
18%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
CBA
0 - 1
POR
51%
24%
24%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
POR
1 - 1
PUE
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |