Leandro Nicéforo Alem vs El Porvenir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
28.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
DPA
0 - 2
ALE
24%
27%
49%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ALE
1 - 0
CES
41%
28%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
CBA
0 - 1
ALE
30%
27%
43%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2013 |
ALE
1 - 1
CAA
42%
27%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
ARR
2 - 2
ALE
35%
28%
36%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
POR
1 - 2
SBA
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
SMA
0 - 0
POR
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -3 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
POR
2 - 0
ARR
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
MUÑ
1 - 1
POR
30%
28%
42%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
POR
4 - 0
SAC
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |