Leandro Nicéforo Alem vs Dep. Muñiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
POR
1 - 2
ALE
37%
28%
35%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
ALE
2 - 0
DPA
72%
19%
9%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CES
0 - 1
ALE
44%
27%
29%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ALE
1 - 0
CBA
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2013 |
CAA
3 - 0
ALE
42%
27%
31%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Muñiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
DPA
2 - 0
MUÑ
21%
24%
56%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
MUÑ
1 - 1
SBA
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2014 |
SMA
1 - 2
MUÑ
63%
22%
15%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
VIC
4 - 1
MUÑ
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
POR
0 - 0
MUÑ
45%
26%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |