Leandro Nicéforo Alem vs Arg. Rosario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MUÑ
2 - 1
ALE
38%
28%
34%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
ALE
0 - 1
POR
44%
28%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
DPA
0 - 2
ALE
24%
27%
49%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ALE
1 - 0
CES
41%
28%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
CBA
0 - 1
ALE
30%
27%
43%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Arg. Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ARR
3 - 2
SBA
45%
26%
29%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SMA
4 - 1
ARR
68%
20%
12%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ARR
1 - 2
VIC
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -3 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ARR
1 - 1
MUÑ
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
POR
2 - 0
ARR
62%
23%
15%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |