Leandro Nicéforo Alem vs Argentino Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
57.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
ITA
4 - 2
ALE
55%
23%
22%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
ALE
0 - 1
CAÑ
33%
25%
42%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
ESP
1 - 0
ALE
65%
21%
14%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
ALE
2 - 1
ITU
48%
26%
26%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2019 |
VIC
1 - 1
ALE
43%
25%
33%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Argentino Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
ARM
2 - 0
ITA
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CAÑ
2 - 1
ARM
34%
24%
42%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
ARM
1 - 1
ESP
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ITU
1 - 4
ARM
25%
24%
50%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2019 |
ARM
5 - 1
VIC
67%
20%
13%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |