Leamington vs Spennymoor Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
61.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leamington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 3
LEA
34%
23%
43%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2019 |
KIN
5 - 2
LEA
76%
16%
8%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
SOU
4 - 1
LEA
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
LEA
0 - 1
ALF
32%
25%
43%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
LEA
0 - 2
DAR
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Spennymoor Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
AFC
2 - 2
SPE
23%
22%
55%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2019 |
SPE
2 - 1
BOS
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
SPE
1 - 0
SOU
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 0
SPE
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
ALF
0 - 2
SPE
34%
24%
43%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |