FA Trophy 1/16
Global 2-1
Leamington vs Kingstonian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leamington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
KIN
1 - 1
LEA
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
LEA
0 - 1
ALT
26%
25%
50%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
GLO
2 - 1
LEA
22%
24%
55%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
HER
1 - 2
LEA
29%
25%
46%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
LEA
3 - 0
GLO
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Kingstonian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
KIN
1 - 1
LEA
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
CHE
3 - 1
KIN
12%
18%
70%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -2 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
BIS
1 - 2
KIN
29%
24%
47%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
POT
1 - 2
KIN
26%
25%
49%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
KIN
3 - 1
WOK
16%
20%
64%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +5 |