Lealtad Villaviciosa vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CON
1 - 2
LEA
21%
23%
56%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
LEA
1 - 1
MAD
78%
15%
7%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
LEA
1 - 2
SPO
5%
15%
80%
|
38 | 79 | 41 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
BAR
4 - 0
LEA
75%
17%
8%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
LEA
1 - 1
CDV
31%
27%
42%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
AVI
1 - 0
UNI
43%
24%
33%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
GIN
0 - 0
AVI
58%
22%
20%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
AVI
4 - 1
MOS
43%
25%
32%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
UDL
1 - 1
AVI
62%
20%
19%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
AVI
2 - 2
COV
17%
21%
62%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +1 |