Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 5-4
Lealtad Villaviciosa vs Marino de Luanco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
PIL
1 - 0
LEA
34%
29%
38%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1992 |
MAR
0 - 3
LEA
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
LEA
1 - 1
MAR
60%
23%
16%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
GIN
2 - 1
LEA
31%
29%
39%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
LEA
2 - 0
RIB
78%
16%
6%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Marino de Luanco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
SIE
2 - 1
MAR
35%
31%
34%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1992 |
MAR
0 - 3
LEA
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
LEA
1 - 1
MAR
60%
23%
16%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
MAR
7 - 0
LLA
72%
19%
9%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
TUI
0 - 0
MAR
30%
29%
41%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |