Lealtad Villaviciosa vs CD Colunga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
8º
6º
24
9º
18º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 86 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 71 |
2º
|
35.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 70 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 70 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 53 |
5º
|
41% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 50 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 50 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 44 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 42 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 37 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 35 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 32 |
15º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 31 |
16º
|
26% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
26% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 14 |
18º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
14% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
86% | 92% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 7.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
COV
1 - 0
LEA
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
LEA
1 - 2
LEN
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LEN
4 - 4
LEA
18%
23%
60%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
AVI
1 - 1
LEA
18%
24%
59%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
LEA
1 - 0
MOS
62%
22%
16%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CD Colunga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
COL
0 - 2
ROB
12%
22%
67%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
COL
1 - 0
RTI
55%
23%
23%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
COL
2 - 0
TUI
32%
24%
44%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
COL
2 - 2
ESM
40%
26%
34%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CAU
2 - 0
COL
68%
20%
13%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |