Lealtad Villaviciosa vs Atlético de Lugones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
CON
0 - 2
LEA
55%
24%
21%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
LEA
1 - 2
LUA
47%
26%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
LLA
3 - 2
LEA
40%
26%
34%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
LEA
0 - 1
UPL
35%
28%
37%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ROB
0 - 1
LEA
50%
24%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 1
NAI
61%
22%
17%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
URR
2 - 0
ATL
52%
24%
24%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 1
TUI
25%
25%
50%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 0
ATL
70%
19%
12%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 0
CEA
46%
25%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |