Le Puy vs Saint-Étienne II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Puy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
EVI
4 - 2
LPV
66%
20%
15%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LPV
1 - 3
AUX
35%
26%
39%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
FEU
1 - 3
LPV
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
LPV
1 - 0
BOU
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
CLE
2 - 1
LPV
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SAE
1 - 2
CSL
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BOU
3 - 1
SAE
49%
25%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
SAE
1 - 1
BOU
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
SAE
0 - 2
CAN
22%
26%
53%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
FCM
1 - 1
SAE
76%
16%
8%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |