Le Pays du Valois vs US Pays de Cassel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
36.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+184%
+140%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
2º
8º
7º
5
2º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 52 |
1º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 49 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 49 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 45 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 41 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
|
6º
|
5 | 37 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
|
2º
|
8 | 37 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 36 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 34 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 31 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 29 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 25 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 23 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 15 |
14º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
75% | 71.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7% | 9% |
|
Relegation
|
15.5% | 18% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Pays du Valois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LIL
0 - 1
LPV
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LPV
0 - 0
SAN
33%
24%
44%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 2
LPV
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LPV
2 - 0
DRA
30%
22%
48%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +3 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
DRA
1 - 1
LPV
57%
22%
21%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
US Pays de Cassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PDC
0 - 0
SAN
40%
24%
37%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
DRA
2 - 1
PDC
38%
24%
38%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PDC
1 - 1
VAL
57%
20%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VIM
3 - 4
PDC
39%
22%
39%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
4 - 0
PDC
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | 0 |