Le Pays du Valois vs Drancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
48.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+171%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
2º
8º
7º
5
5º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 52 |
1º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 49 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 49 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 45 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 41 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 37 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
|
2º
|
8 | 37 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 36 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
5 | 34 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 31 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 29 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 25 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 23 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 15 |
14º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
75% | 57% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7% | 15% |
|
Relegation
|
15.5% | 27% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Pays du Valois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
DRA
1 - 1
LPV
57%
22%
21%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LPV
0 - 2
SAI
33%
22%
45%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LPV
3 - 0
COM
56%
20%
24%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LIL
3 - 0
LPV
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LPV
4 - 2
VAL
35%
23%
42%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
DRA
1 - 1
LPV
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
COM
2 - 2
DRA
18%
22%
60%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DRA
1 - 1
VAL
55%
24%
21%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
DRA
34%
24%
42%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
DRA
0 - 2
VIM
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |