Le Pays du Valois vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.3%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.4%
1-0
0.9%
2-1
0.7%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
1.9%
6.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.7%
90.9%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
13.6%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
20.1%
0-4
11.8%
1-5
3.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
16.1%
0-5
8.1%
1-6
2.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
10.6%
0-6
4.7%
1-7
1.1%
2-8
0.1%
-6
5.9%
0-7
2.3%
1-8
0.5%
2-9
0%
-7
2.8%
0-8
1%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
1.2%
0-9
0.4%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.4%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Pays du Valois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
LPV
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LPV
0 - 4
IRI
18%
20%
61%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VIM
2 - 1
LPV
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LPV
2 - 2
LEN
10%
14%
76%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
5 - 1
LPV
77%
14%
10%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
AUX
5 - 2
ASS
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
GUI
2 - 1
AUX
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
AUX
0 - 1
DUN
70%
20%
11%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 1
AUX
26%
25%
49%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PFC
0 - 2
AUX
26%
25%
49%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |