Lazio vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
39.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
LAZ
0 - 1
FIO
48%
27%
25%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
ROM
3 - 2
LAZ
66%
19%
15%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
LAZ
0 - 1
UDI
54%
24%
22%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2007 |
BRE
2 - 1
LAZ
60%
22%
19%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
LIV
0 - 1
LAZ
27%
26%
48%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
BRE
1 - 0
ROS
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
BRE
4 - 0
MSV
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
S04
1 - 1
BRE
34%
26%
40%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2007 |
BRE
2 - 1
LAZ
60%
22%
19%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
BRE
3 - 2
HER
70%
18%
12%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |