Lazio vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
BOL
1 - 1
LAZ
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
LAZ
0 - 0
PIS
75%
15%
10%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
BAR
0 - 1
LAZ
28%
26%
47%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
LAZ
0 - 1
BOL
61%
24%
15%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
ACM
0 - 1
LAZ
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
DUK
1 - 0
VIC
65%
20%
16%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
VIC
1 - 0
BAR
82%
12%
6%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
VIC
1 - 1
BOL
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
PIS
1 - 2
VIC
28%
23%
49%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
JUV
3 - 2
VIC
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | -1 |