Lazio vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.3%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
29.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
ROM
2 - 1
LAZ
75%
18%
7%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
LAZ
5 - 1
FIO
21%
28%
51%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
LAZ
1 - 0
SAM
42%
30%
28%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
CAG
1 - 0
LAZ
75%
17%
8%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
LAZ
1 - 0
ACM
21%
30%
49%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
VIC
3 - 0
VER
54%
26%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
VIC
1 - 0
JUV
38%
29%
33%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
BAR
0 - 0
VIC
37%
29%
34%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
VIC
1 - 2
FIO
26%
29%
46%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
PAL
1 - 3
VIC
36%
30%
34%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |