Lazio vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
VER
1 - 0
LAZ
81%
14%
6%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
LAZ
0 - 3
SAM
42%
29%
29%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
COM
1 - 0
LAZ
46%
31%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ATL
61%
24%
16%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ROM
30%
30%
40%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
AVE
2 - 1
SAM
36%
31%
34%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
TOR
2 - 0
AVE
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
AVE
1 - 1
ATL
58%
26%
16%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
ACM
2 - 0
AVE
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
AVE
0 - 1
NAP
45%
30%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |