Lazio vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
14.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
UDI
4 - 1
LAZ
44%
24%
33%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
LAZ
0 - 0
FIO
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
LAZ
0 - 1
VIC
61%
20%
18%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
SAM
1 - 2
LAZ
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
LAZ
1 - 2
INT
46%
23%
31%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
SPA
0 - 1
INT
31%
25%
44%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
USA
2 - 0
SPA
48%
24%
27%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
SPA
4 - 0
TRI
51%
24%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
JUV
1 - 1
SPA
78%
13%
9%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
BAR
2 - 1
SPA
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |