Lazio vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
EMP
2 - 3
LAZ
30%
28%
43%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
SAM
2 - 0
LAZ
41%
27%
33%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
LAZ
0 - 0
INT
30%
26%
44%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
REG
1 - 0
LAZ
26%
27%
47%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
LAZ
2 - 2
CHI
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
SIE
0 - 0
REG
50%
26%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
LEC
3 - 0
SIE
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
SIE
0 - 1
CHI
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
TRE
0 - 1
SIE
26%
27%
47%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
SIE
0 - 2
FIO
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |