Lazio vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
8.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1945 |
PAL
0 - 1
LAZ
28%
24%
48%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1945 |
FIO
4 - 3
LAZ
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1945 |
LAZ
1 - 0
BAR
74%
15%
12%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
NAP
0 - 0
LAZ
35%
24%
42%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
SAL
2 - 0
LAZ
24%
21%
56%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1945 |
PES
2 - 0
SIE
49%
21%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1945 |
SIE
1 - 0
ANC
73%
15%
12%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
ROM
1 - 0
SIE
74%
15%
11%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
LIV
0 - 0
SIE
72%
16%
12%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
SIE
2 - 2
SAL
67%
17%
16%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |