Lazio vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
7.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
LIV
1 - 0
LAZ
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1945 |
LAZ
1 - 2
ROM
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
PES
2 - 2
LAZ
26%
22%
52%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1945 |
LAZ
1 - 2
ANC
87%
9%
5%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1945 |
LAZ
0 - 0
SIE
80%
12%
8%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
SAL
3 - 0
SIE
49%
21%
30%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1945 |
NAP
1 - 0
SAL
69%
18%
14%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
PAL
1 - 0
SAL
54%
22%
24%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1945 |
SAL
1 - 3
ROM
27%
24%
49%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1945 |
LIV
3 - 0
SAL
75%
14%
11%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |